Context:

The expiration of the New START treaty has eliminated limitations on the nuclear arsenals of the U.S. and Russia, marking a significant shift in global nuclear arms control. This change allows both nations to expand their nuclear capabilities without the need for mutual notification of weapon movements. Currently, over 12,200 nuclear weapons are possessed by nine countries, with the U.S. and Russia holding approximately 10,636 of them. As the world enters this unregulated phase, concerns about a potential arms race have intensified, prompting discussions about new treaties that could include other nuclear powers like China. Looking ahead, the urgency for a comprehensive nuclear agreement grows amid rising geopolitical tensions.

Dive Deeper:

• The New START treaty, which was the last nuclear arms control agreement between the U.S. and Russia, expired recently, allowing both countries to deploy nuclear weapons without restrictions.

• The current global stockpile of nuclear weapons exceeds 12,200, with the U.S. and Russia accounting for about 10,636 of these weapons, reflecting a considerable imbalance in nuclear capabilities.

• President Trump has criticized the previous New START agreement as poorly negotiated and has suggested that a new treaty should be established, incorporating China due to its expanding nuclear arsenal.

• The absence of limits on nuclear arsenals raises fears of a renewed arms race, as nations may seek to bolster their military capabilities in response to perceived threats.

• Experts believe that the dynamics of nuclear proliferation will be significantly impacted by the lack of oversight and transparency following the treaty's expiration.

• The Federation of American Scientists has provided estimates on the nuclear stockpiles of various countries, highlighting the concealed nature of many nations' arsenals.

• The geopolitical landscape may shift as countries reevaluate their nuclear strategies and alliances in light of this new era of unconstrained nuclear armament.