Context:

The Atlanta Falcons experienced a tumultuous 2024 season, highlighted by the signing of quarterback Kirk Cousins to a lucrative four-year deal, only to end the season with rookie Michael Penix Jr. taking over as the starter. Despite having the easiest schedule on paper, the Falcons struggled to find an offensive identity, leading to a disappointing record and missing the playoffs. Looking ahead to 2025, the Falcons have a moderate strength of schedule and are relying on Penix's performance to steer the team's fortunes, though they have retained Cousins as a high-paid backup. Key matchups within their division, particularly against the Buccaneers, Panthers, and Saints, will be crucial for Atlanta's success, while games against teams like the Rams and Seahawks present significant challenges. The team's ability to capitalize on easier opponents like the Cardinals and Patriots could determine their chances of improving their standing in the league, with an overall prediction of an 8-9 record for 2025.

Dive Deeper:

• In 2024, the Falcons began the season with high expectations after signing veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins to a substantial contract, but ended with rookie Michael Penix Jr. starting, highlighting a season of instability at the quarterback position.

• Atlanta faced one of the easiest schedules in the league but struggled to achieve a winning record due to a lack of offensive cohesion and defensive shortcomings, failing to meet the expectations set for the year.

• Heading into 2025, the Falcons' schedule ranks as the 13th-easiest in the league, with opponents' prior season winning percentages considered, giving them a favorable outlook to potentially improve their record.

• Key divisional games against the Buccaneers, Panthers, and Saints will be critical in determining the Falcons' success, as victories in these matchups could significantly impact their standings in the NFC South.

• Outside of their division, challenging games against teams like the Rams, Seahawks, and 49ers present hurdles, while matches against teams perceived to be weaker, such as the Cardinals and Patriots, offer opportunities for wins.

• Despite retaining Cousins as a backup, the team's success in 2025 largely hinges on the performance of Michael Penix Jr., with the potential for a promising season if he performs well, similar to past rookie successes.

• The Falcons have improved their defensive lineup through the draft, but it remains to be seen how quickly these enhancements will translate into on-field success and whether they can contend for a playoff spot by 2026.