Four Games, Two Realities: Inside the CFP’s Opening Weekend
For months, the conversation around the 12-team format lived in theory. Who deserved to be in. Who didn’t. Whether expanding the field would water things down or finally give the sport the access it’s been pretending to care about. But once the games kicked off, none of that mattered. What mattered was how teams handled pressure, hostile environments, and some rough weather.
The first round split itself quickly. Two games turned into grind-it-out survival tests, where defense ruled, and the road teams had to earn every inch just to stay alive. The other two turned into harsh reality checks, where great seasons by Group of Five programs ran straight into depth, speed, and roster realities that don’t care how good your resume looks.
That contrast is the expanded playoff in its rawest form. It gives more teams a seat at the table — but it doesn’t guarantee anyone a soft landing. Getting in is an achievement. Winning once you’re there is something else entirely.
Alabama 34, Oklahoma 24
Norman Was Shaking Before Alabama Even Settled Into the Game
If you only watched the first quarter, you’d swear Oklahoma had solved the sport.
The Stadium wasn’t just loud — it was the kind of loud that rattles your chest. This didn’t feel like a regular home game. It felt like a fan base that had been waiting for this.
And Oklahoma fed off it early.
The start wasn’t fluky. It was sharp, aggressive, and purposeful.
John Mateer opened the scoring with an 8‑yard quarterback keeper that caught Alabama leaning the wrong way on their second drive.
A few snaps later, after a quick three-and-out from Alabama, they tacked on three more to take a 10-0 lead.
Then Mateer capped the opening burst by putting together a 5-for-6 drive with 62 yards and a touchdown that made it 17‑0 and sent the stadium into full-blown disbelief.
But the scoreboard wasn’t the most impressive part. The rhythm was.
Oklahoma looked comfortable. The ball was coming out on time. The run game was hitting creases before Alabama’s linebackers could get settled. And every completion forced Alabama’s defenders to tackle in space — something they hadn’t been asked to do often this year.
Alabama, meanwhile, looked like a team still waiting for the moment to slow down. The Tide were late to fits, took a couple of rough angles, and had those early-game snaps where you can tell a defense is thinking instead of reacting. It wasn’t panic — but it also wasn’t control.
And the numbers told the story in a way that felt almost disrespectful: Oklahoma outgained Alabama 118‑12 in the first quarter.
That’s not a hot start. That’s a statement.
Alabama’s Needed to Stop the Bleeding
Alabama is annoying because Alabama is resilient. Not perfect. Not unbeatable. Just… hard to kill.
That’s been the most consistent thing about them for more than a decade, and it showed up again in Norman. Once the game slowed down even a little, the comeback didn’t start with fireworks. It started with the stuff fans barely notice unless it’s missing:
first downs that flipped field position
clean snaps that stopped drives from dying early
getting to third‑and‑manageable instead of third‑and‑forever
and, most importantly, not compounding mistakes
That’s where Ty Simpson mattered. He didn’t come in trying to save the night with one throw. He didn’t force hero balls. He just played grown‑up quarterback — taking what Oklahoma gave him, keeping Alabama on schedule, and giving his defense a chance to breathe. In a hostile playoff environment, that kind of steadiness is its own weapon.
The first touchdown to Lotzeir Brooks — a simple 10‑yard score — didn’t erase the deficit, but it absolutely flipped momentum to their sideline. It told Oklahoma they were going to have to finish this. And it reminded everyone watching that Alabama, no matter who’s coaching or who’s playing quarterback, isn’t built to go quietly when things get uncomfortable.
The “Two‑Part Swing” That Turned the Entire Game
If you want the exact moment the night flipped, it wasn’t one play. It was two plays, back-to-back, that taught Oklahoma the most painful playoff lesson: every mistake has interest.
First: Oklahoma had a third-and-3 and had a chance to extend the lead and keep Alabama off balance. The Sooners took a shot instead of taking the easy conversion—and it didn’t hit.
Second: on the very next sequence, Oklahoma’s punt operation melted down. Punter Grayson Miller dropped the ball while moving into his motion, and Alabama recovered at the OU 30.
Oklahoma’s defense held, but Alabama still stole three points.
What could have been a 24‑7 game suddenly became 17‑10.
And then, right when Oklahoma thought it had survived that little scare… Alabama dropped the hammer.
Zabien Brown’s Pick‑Six Was a “Playoff Gravity” Moment
Late in the second quarter, Oklahoma still felt like it was steering the night.
They’d weathered Alabama’s early response, the crowd was back on its feet, and it looked like they were going to have a chance to add to their lead before heading to the locker room for the break.
Then Zabien Brown read the play like it came with subtitles.
He jumped a throw intended for Keontez Lewis, undercut the route, and suddenly all that noise turned into stunned silence as he sprinted 50 yards untouched to the end zone. Just like that, a game Oklahoma had spent nearly an entire half controlling was 17‑17 at halftime.
Pick-sixes are cruel in a very specific way. They don’t just take points off the board — they rip the sense of control right out of your hands. You go from thinking about how to manage the next drive to wondering how the entire night flipped in six seconds.
The Second Half Became Alabama’s Defense Doing Alabama Things
The second half was Alabama putting a lid on the game.
That’s usually how it goes when Alabama survives the early storm. They don’t always overwhelm you right away, but once they figure out where the stress points are, the game starts shrinking.
Oklahoma managed only seven points after halftime, and the reason wasn’t complicated: Alabama’s front finally started winning consistently. The pass rush showed up in a real way, and the Sooners had no answer schematically.
Alabama finished with a season‑high five sacks, but the sacks themselves were only part of it. Mateer started feeling pressure even when it wasn’t there yet. His internal clock sped up. Throws that had been easy early suddenly felt like they needed to come out a half‑second faster, and that’s usually when things start to unravel.
And while the defense was squeezing the life out of the game, Alabama’s offense finally landed the punch that mattered most.
Lotzeir Brooks, who hadn’t scored a single touchdown during the regular season, suddenly became the guy who delivered the defining moment. His 30‑yard touchdown early in the third quarter wasn’t flashy, but it was decisive. It pushed Alabama ahead and felt like the first time the Tide truly took firm control of the night.
Oklahoma Had One Last Swing — And Missed It
To Oklahoma’s credit, they didn’t collapse quietly. But the Sooners couldn’t finish.
And when you’re chasing Alabama, “couldn’t finish” usually shows up in the cruelest place possible: like the kicking game.
Tate Sandell, the Groza Award winner, missed a 36‑yard field goal that would’ve tied it. Later, he missed from 51 into a stiff wind.
That’s not an excuse. It’s just the reality of playing a tight playoff game where every possession matters.
The Stat to Sum Up Oklahoma’s Pain
In the history of the College Football Playoff, teams are 28‑2 when leading by 17 points.
Oklahoma is 0‑2.
Everyone else is 28‑0.
That’s the kind of stat that follows you.
Miami 10, Texas A&M 3
A 10‑3 Playoff Game in 2025 Shouldn’t Be Possible — And Yet It Made Perfect Sense
If you’re a sicko who loves defensive football, Miami–Texas A&M was an absolute feast. If you’re anyone else, it was 58 minutes of trying to figure out: How is this still 3–0?
This wasn’t just low scoring in the normal sense. It was historically low scoring.
The first half ended scoreless — the first scoreless first half in College Football Playoff history — which sounds impossible in 2025. This is supposed to be the era of spacing, tempo, and quarterbacks throwing it all over the yard. And yet, there they were, two playoff teams locked in a game where simply crossing midfield felt like progress.
The Environment Turned the Game Into Something Weird
Kyle Field was loud like always, but the wind turned the game into something slightly unrecognizable. This wasn’t the usual SEC night-game chaos where noise alone tilts the field. This was weather quietly hijacking the sport.
When gusts are pushing 30 miles per hour, your passing game turns into a negotiation. Quarterbacks hesitate just a beat longer. Deep balls hang in the air like invitations for disaster. And the kicking game? That turns into pure guesswork.
And the kicking game… man.
Both teams combined to miss six field goals, and it felt like every miss took a little more oxygen out of the building. Miami kicker Carter Davis, who had missed only two kicks all season, went 1‑for‑4. Texas A&M wasn’t any better. Routine attempts suddenly looked uncomfortable. Longer kicks felt borderline irresponsible.
The Committee Debate Was Loud, and Miami Played Like They Heard Every Word
Miami came into this weekend as the final at‑large and everyone knew it. They also had Carson Beck steering the offense, which only added fuel to the “prove it” energy — because that’s the kind of quarterback name fans are going to judge in big moments, fair or not.
Notre Dame fans were furious. Plenty of neutrals thought the committee bent itself into a pretzel to justify Miami.
So when Miami walked into Kyle Field — against a higher seed, with A&M’s crowd ready to make it miserable — it didn’t feel like a normal 7 vs. 10.
It felt like Miami had to prove something.
And Mario Cristobal’s team played like it.
Every Yard Felt Earned, and Nothing Came Easy
Both offenses had moments, but everything felt heavy from the jump.
This was one of those games where you could tell, pretty early on, that nothing was going to come easy for either side. Drives didn’t build momentum so much as they survived snap by snap.
Texas A&M actually gave itself chances to take control. They moved the ball more than Miami could, crossed midfield enough to make them uncomfortable, and flirted with taking a lead that might’ve changed the entire tone of the game.
But the mistakes kept piling up.
Marcel Reed’s night turned into the kind of quarterback experience that sticks with you — three turnovers in a game where points were rare minerals. In a shootout, you can sometimes survive that. In a 10‑3 rock fight? That’s a death sentence.
Miami didn’t light it up either, but there’s a big difference between struggling and self‑destructing. The Canes made mistakes, sure — just not the kind that immediately flipped the field or handed A&M a short runway to points.
Rueben Bain Jr. Was the Villain Kyle Field Didn’t Want
This game had plenty of defensive standouts, but Bain was the one who felt like he was actively tilting the field.
Part of it was timing. Part of it was attitude. And part of it was that he had clearly heard everything that was said earlier in the week.
Texas A&M lineman Trey Zuhn III had brushed Bain off as not much of a “threat,” which probably sounded harmless at the time. But in college football, that’s bulletin board material.
From the opening drives on, Bain played like he had something to settle.
Miami finished with seven sacks, and Bain was the headliner — three sacks and four tackles for loss.
Mark Fletcher Jr. Was the One Offensive Player Who Could Actually Breathe
For three quarters, everything was mud.
Then Mark Fletcher Jr. found one crease. And for the first time all afternoon, the offense could breathe.
His 56-yard run late didn’t just set up Miami’s eventual touchdown — it completely changed the math of the game. Up until that moment, the entire afternoon had been begging Texas A&M to steal it. One tipped ball. One busted coverage. One weird bounce. That’s how these games usually flip.
Fletcher didn’t let it get there. He finished with 172 yards on just 17 carries — over 10 yards a pop — and in a game where every yard was hard to come by, that felt like gold.
Malachi Toney’s Fourth-Quarter Roller Coaster Was the Entire Miami Experience
Late in the fourth quarter, Toney put the ball on the ground and nearly handed Texas A&M the game on a silver platter. In a 10–3 rock fight, that kind of mistake usually ends your season.
And for a moment, it felt like that was exactly where this was headed.
Then came the other side of the Miami experience.
With the game on the line, Toney redeemed himself the only way that matters — by making the play that decided the game. His short touchdown wasn’t all that flashy, but it was everything this afternoon had been building toward.
That’s college football.
Not calm. Not clean. Definitely not stress-free.
The Final Nail Was a Freshman Making a Grown-Man Decision
Texas A&M still had one last chance.
In a game like this, that’s all you need. One clean drive. One broken tackle. One throw into the end zone that flips the entire story.
The Aggies got inside striking distance late, and Kyle Field woke back up. For a split second, it felt like the game was about to turn one more time.
Then freshman safety Bryce Fitzgerald read Reed’s eyes, trusted what he saw, and jumped the throw in the end zone with 24 seconds left. No hesitation. No panic.
Game over.
Kyle Field went from deafening to stunned in a heartbeat.
Miami walked out with the kind of playoff win that doesn’t look impressive in a box score, but looks absolutely perfect on a bracket — the kind you remember not because it was pretty, but because it was earned.
Ole Miss 41, Tulane 10
Tulane Didn’t Just Lose — They Got Introduced to the Deep End
Let’s be clear up front: Tulane deserved to be in the playoff by the rules that currently exist. They won their conference, earned the bid, and put together a season that absolutely warranted a shot.
But the first round also made something else painfully obvious. This wasn’t one of the 12 best teams in the country.
Tulane didn’t walk into Oxford and get unlucky. They ran straight into a level of speed, depth, and physical stress that you simply don’t see week to week in the Group of Five. They moved the ball early, reached Ole Miss territory on their first four drives, and still walked away empty. That’s the margin difference. Against teams like this, almost doesn’t buy you anything.
That’s why weekends like this fuel the uncomfortable truth: Group of Five teams probably shouldn’t be in the playoff unless they’re ranked inside the top 15.
Ole Miss Made It a Depth Test Immediately
Ole Miss didn’t let this linger long enough to become interesting.
With Lane Kiffin already gone and Pete Golding stepping in under strange circumstances, the Rebels could’ve played tight. Instead, they played fast and decisive. A 59‑second touchdown drive, 135 yards on the first seven snaps, and a 14‑0 lead before Tulane could settle told you everything about how this night was going to go.
Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss was the perfect symbol of the mismatch. Efficient, calm, and never asked to do anything heroic, he carved Tulane up within structure — quick reads, clean pockets, and spacing that turned good defensive looks into losing ones.
And once the mistakes started piling up for Tulane — three turnovers, a failed fourth down — the game stopped being competitive. Not because Tulane quit. But because Ole Miss had the depth to punish every single error.
That’s the part the playoff doesn’t soften. When you fall behind early against a roster built like this, the game turns into survival instead of competition. And by halftime, this one already felt over.
Oregon 51, James Madison 34
Oregon Treated the First Half Like a Speed‑Run
Autzen in December isn’t just loud — it’s oppressive. And Oregon made sure James Madison felt every bit of it right away.
The Ducks scored touchdowns on their first five possessions, none of which took more than 2:37 off the clock. By halftime it was 34–6, and Oregon was averaging 14.4 yards per play. That’s not just efficiency — that’s a team running an offense the other side simply can’t keep up with.
Quarterback Dante Moore was the clearest separator. He completed 10 of his first 11 passes and finished with 313 yards and four touchdowns, carving JMU up with quick decisions and easy answers. When Oregon plays like that, the game turns into a track meet — and most teams, especially outside the Power 4, aren’t built for that speed.
James Madison Played Hard — But This Wasn’t One of the 12 Best Teams
To JMU’s credit, they didn’t fold. They kept throwing, kept attacking, and even piled up 509 total yards, the most Oregon allowed all season (even if most of it came against the second and third stringers. But that’s the uncomfortable part of this conversation: production doesn’t always equal competitiveness.
Once Oregon built that early cushion, James Madison was playing uphill the rest of the night. The Ducks could afford mistakes. JMU couldn’t. That’s the depth gap in action.
James Madison didn’t look like a fraud. They looked like a good team asked to play a level up before the roster was ready for it. And in this format, that gap shows up fast.
A Quick Look Ahead: The Quarterfinals
The first round was a four‑game personality test.
Now we get the games that actually decide championships.
The quarterfinals are where the expanded playoff stops being a novelty and starts feeling unforgiving. These are the New Year’s Six bowls, the stages everyone grew up associating with legacy and hardware, and now they’re also the round where top seeds step back in after a bye.
That matters.
Last year, every team that earned a bye lost in the quarterfinals — though those byes went to conference champions. This year, the byes belong to the top four teams in the rankings. How much that shift actually matters is one of the first real tests of this new format.
Cotton Bowl: Miami vs. Ohio State
Miami just survived the ugliest game of the weekend, the kind that tests patience more than talent.
Ohio State is going to test both.
Their defense is built to suffocate games. They tackle well in space, close throwing windows quickly, and force offenses to be precise for four quarters. Miami won’t get away with surviving on chaos again.
If the Canes are going to have a real shot, it probably looks like this:
Mark Fletcher Jr. keeps the game on schedule and prevents obvious passing downs
Carson Beck treats the football like a family heirloom
Miami’s pass rush creates pressure without giving up explosive plays
Orange Bowl: Oregon vs. Texas Tech
This one is all about contrast.
When Oregon’s offense is rolling, it feels like a cheat code — tempo, spacing, and answers built into every look. Dante Moore doesn’t need hero throws when everything around him is working.
Texas Tech’s defense is the exact kind of unit that wants to ruin that rhythm. They’re physical, disciplined, and comfortable turning games into four‑quarter fistfights. That’s the version of football Dan Lanning would rather avoid.
The question coming out of the first round is simple: was Oregon’s leaky second half against James Madison just a product of score and substitutions, or a warning sign?
Rose Bowl: Alabama vs. Indiana
This matchup still feels surreal.
Indiana is the No. 1 seed.
Alabama is the team that just survived a road playoff game and still never quite looked like the best version of themselves.
The Rose Bowl is the perfect backdrop for the tension here — new blood trying to take the throne against the program that defined the sport for two decades.
Alabama’s biggest issue in Norman was the run game. If Indiana can control the line of scrimmage, shorten the game, and force Alabama into obvious passing situations, they'll look like the top seed they are.
But if Alabama turns this into another survival exercise — special teams swings and defensive pressure — you’re asking Indiana to do something incredibly hard: finish off the most stubborn opponent in the sport.
Sugar Bowl: Ole Miss vs. Georgia
Ole Miss just played one of the cleanest games of the first round.
Georgia has been sitting back, watching, and gameplanning for this specific mathcup for weeks.
This is an SEC rematch, which means there won’t be a ton of surprises — just execution. Both sides know exactly what’s coming.
For Ole Miss, the path is narrow but clear:
Trinidad Chambliss has to stay mistake‑free
The Rebels must win the explosive‑play battle without handing Georgia short fields
Georgia’s defense has been peaking late in the season, suffocating teams by taking away easy yards and forcing long drives.
Ole Miss’ offense has lived on rhythm and efficiency.
Something has to give — and this is the kind of matchup where one early mistake can tilt the entire night.
All stats courtesy of ESPN.
Looking for stories that inform and engage? From breaking headlines to fresh perspectives, WaveNewsToday has more to explore. Ride the wave of what’s next.